JULY 24- A survey conducted by a private news channel on Tuesday indicated that Jayalalithaa-led AIADMK is all set to win Tamil Nadu and Congress is ready to repeat its Assembly poll performance in 2014 Lok Sabha elections. However, Andhra Pradesh is still undecided but the Congress is losing its ground.
The AIADMK is set to win the elections with 16-20 seats, whereas the Congress-DMK combine will make it only upto 9-17 seats. Other parties are likely to get 2-14 seats.
Nearly 46 per cent people believe that Amma’s government in Tamil Nadu is better than the previous Karunanidhi-led DMK government.
The Tamils also are ‘fully justified’ or ‘somewhat justified’ over Jayalalithaa’s decision of not allowing Sri Lankan players to participate in IPL matches in the state, the survey revealed.
Meanwhile, the BJP in Karnataka is set to lose several seats after B.S. Yeddyurappa’s withdrawal from the party. The Congress is likely to repeat its Assembly performance in the upcoming 2014 Lok Sabha polls and likely to win 18-22 seats.
The BJP vote share fell to 22 per cent in Karnataka while the Congress’ vote share has gone up to 47 per cent in July 2013. BSY may not pose threat to either of the parties, the survey says.
The survey reveals that there can be a massive swing in the votes in Karnataka in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.
In Andhra Pradesh, the survey reveals, the Congress which swept the state in 2009, will face bigger challenge. Telangana issue and the rise of Y.S. Jaganmohan Reddy are the main concerns for the Congress in Andhra for 2014 elections.
Telangana issue plays an important role as 55 per cent people says they will decide on the Andhra government once the Congress’ clears its statnd on the issue.
25 per cent people want Jaganmohan Reddy’s party to form the government in Andhra while 29 per cent say he is being falsely implicated; 34 per cent people still feel he is corrupt.
The Congress vote share has seen a seven per cent decline in vote share. The party will get the support of 32 per cent voters in 2013 compared to 39 in 2009.
The Congress is likely to see its tally drop from 33 seats to anything between 11 and 15 while Jaganmohan’s party will also win 11-15 seats.
The TDP may win 6-10 seats. The TRS is likely to win 5-9 seats. Other smaller parties are likely to bag 0-4 seats.
INDIA TODAY
