New Delhi, January 13 – The BJP is projected to bag 34-40 Assembly seats in Delhi while the AAP is likely to win 25-31 seats, says an India Today Group-Cicero opinion poll. The Congress could get just 3-5 seats and others up to two seats, it says.
From December 2014 to January 2015, Wave II of the RCS Poll Tracker 2015 sees a swing in favour of both the BJP and the AAP and a swing against the Congress. The January survey shows that the BJP is projected to get 40 per cent vote share (up from 39 per cent in December last year).
The AAP is projected to secure 36 per cent vote share (no change from last month). The total sample of survey, conducted in all 70 constituencies and 210 polling stations, was 4,459.
In Wave I of the survey in December 2014, the sample size was 4,273. Delhi goes to the polls on February 7 for the 40-member Assembly. In the last Assembly elections held on December 2013, the BJP won 31 seats, the AAP 28 seats, the Congress eight seats and others three seats.
*Delhi CM choice Asked about their choice of chief minister, the 35 per cent of the respondents in the survey picked AAP leader and former chief minister Arvind Kejriwal (same as last month).
Harsh Vardhan, the BJP’s chief ministerial candidate in the last elections, came second with 23 per cent votes (up from 19 per cent). Only 9 per cent want Congress leader and former chief minister Sheila Dikshit back as CM.
*Who deserves a chance to form the next government Asked which party should be given a chance to form the next government in Delhi, 41 per cent of the respondents in the sample picked the BJP (down from 42 per cent last month) while 42 per cent named the AAP (down from 47 per cent). Just 16 per cent named the Congress (down from 22 per cent).
*Public opinion on the Narendra Modi government at the Centre Among the respondents, 36 per cent said the government performed better than expectations while 30 per cent said it performed as per expectations.
*Public opinion on 49 days of AAP government Among the respondents, 36 per cent said the government performed better than expectations while 35 per cent said it performed as per expectations. Rajeeva Karandikar, director, Chennai Mathematical Institute, has arrived at the seat projections based on the poll sample.
-INDIA TODAY
